Diplomatie

NATO – The Illusion of Command

By Régis Ollivier – Wednesday, March 17, 2026

Many assume NATO functions like a traditional military structure.
With a clear chain of command, orders… and execution.

It does not.

Within NATO, there is no voting.
No majority rule.
No formal decision-making in the conventional sense.

There is consensus.

Which means: a decision exists only if no member openly objects.

Every country — from the most powerful to the smallest — can block.
In theory.

In practice, the balance is more nuanced.

The United States sets the pace.
Others adapt.
And most of the real work happens long before any official meeting.

Quiet negotiations.
Carefully crafted language.
Deliberate ambiguity, at times.

By the time a decision is announced, it has already been shaped —
or diluted.

This is NATO’s strength: it prevents open fractures.
It is also its limitation: it often produces lowest-common-denominator outcomes.

So no, NATO does not command.
It aggregates.

And behind the façade of unity lies a simpler reality:

No one openly opposes…
but not everyone truly decides.

The Colonel salutes you. 🫡

Former DGSE Officer | Strategic Analyst – Defense & Geopolitics | Intelligence & International Security
French Ministry of Armed Forces
EMSST – Advanced Military Studies (Paris, France)

Défense

Hormuz – Allies… or Subcontractors ?

By Régis Ollivier – Tuesday, March 17, 2026

In Washington, requests are no longer truly made.
They are conveyed.

And for far too long, some have mistaken alliance for alignment.

So when France declines an American request in the Strait of Hormuz, the reaction is immediate: irritation, criticism, and the familiar charge of a “lack of solidarity.”

Which, translated plainly, means: you are no longer complying.

Because that is, in essence, the issue.

For years, NATO has been gradually evolving from a defensive alliance into a strategic framework increasingly shaped around U.S. priorities.

Participation is expected.
Understanding is optional.
Decision-making, even less so.

This time, however, the answer is no.

Germany says Nein.
Spain says No.
And France — in a move rare enough to be noted — steps out of line and declines to play the role of the well-disciplined extra.

Let us be clear:
an ally is neither a vassal nor a subcontractor.

Still less an instrument.

If the United States chooses to act, it is free to do so.
If it seeks support, it must persuade.

But it would do well to stop confusing leadership with instruction.

Push the line too far, for too long, and even the most reliable allies will eventually let go.

The Colonel salutes you. 🫡

Former DGSE Officer | Strategic Analyst – Defense & Geopolitics | Intelligence & International Security
French Ministry of Armed Forces
EMSST – Advanced Military Studies (Paris, France)

Armées

The Attrition Illusion In The Middle East

Régis Ollivier – March 15, 2026

Already used by Russia in the war against Ukraine — and now invoked against Iran — the same narrative keeps returning: wait long enough and the adversary will run out of missiles and ammunition.

The world waits.

And waits.

Like Sister Anne in the old tale, it keeps looking to the horizon… and sees nothing coming.

For now, Iran continues to fire, again and again.

At the same time, Donald Trump is attempting to rally France and other countries in order to widen the conflict and internationalize the theater of operations.

A way of drawing ever more actors into a world war that still does not yet speak its name.

Recent history reminds us of a simple truth:

A war is always easier to start than it is to end.

🫡 The Colonel sends his regards.


Read also
How Donald Trump lost control of the war he started.

https://www.lepoint.fr/monde/chronique-comment-donald-trump-a-perdu-la-main-sur-la-guerre-quil-a-declenchee-LWHH42RF65D3FMIB4MASCW653M/

Un autre regard sur le monde par Régis Ollivier

Une belle plume au service de nos valeurs

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